Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000107 0.000119 0.000133 0.000148 0.000166 0.000185 0.000207
2024-10-13 0.000088 0.000105 0.000124 0.000148 0.000175 0.000207 0.000247
2024-10-20 0.000075 0.000095 0.000118 0.000148 0.000186 0.000231 0.000291
2024-10-27 0.000066 0.000087 0.000114 0.000150 0.000197 0.000256 0.000338
2024-11-03 0.000057 0.000079 0.000107 0.000147 0.000202 0.000275 0.000378
2024-11-10 0.000052 0.000075 0.000105 0.000150 0.000214 0.000302 0.000433
2024-11-17 0.000046 0.000069 0.000101 0.000149 0.000220 0.000322 0.000478
2024-11-24 0.000042 0.000065 0.000098 0.000149 0.000228 0.000345 0.000529
2024-12-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000094 0.000148 0.000233 0.000362 0.000574
2024-12-08 0.000034 0.000056 0.000090 0.000147 0.000238 0.000380 0.000620
2024-12-15 0.000032 0.000053 0.000088 0.000146 0.000244 0.000401 0.000672
2024-12-22 0.000029 0.000051 0.000086 0.000147 0.000251 0.000423 0.000728
2024-12-29 0.000027 0.000048 0.000084 0.000147 0.000259 0.000448 0.000793
2025-01-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000146 0.000264 0.000468 0.000850
2025-01-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000146 0.000271 0.000494 0.000921
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000041 0.000077 0.000147 0.000280 0.000522 0.000998
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000074 0.000145 0.000283 0.000539 0.001056
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000148 0.000295 0.000575 0.001153
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000036 0.000072 0.000147 0.000299 0.000596 0.001223
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000035 0.000071 0.000147 0.000307 0.000624 0.001309
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000033 0.000068 0.000146 0.000310 0.000644 0.001378
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000066 0.000144 0.000313 0.000664 0.001453
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000030 0.000065 0.000144 0.000319 0.000690 0.001539